Sun Huaibin: The decline in export growth rate is not optimistic

Editor's note: With the economic recession in Europe and the US and the purchasing power of the population declining, the rigid demand in foreign markets has been greatly reduced. This has brought about the overall weakness of China's export market. The traditional industry of textile and apparel industry as a foreign exchange earner of our country is here. The export "winter" was not spared.

With the economic recession in Europe and the United States and the purchasing power of the people declining, the rigid demand in foreign markets has been greatly reduced. This has brought about the overall weakness of China’s export market. The textile and garment industry, as a traditional industry for foreign exchange in China’s exports, has been exported this time.” In the "winter" was also not spared.

Recently, in a survey of 600 domestic export companies, 66% of the respondents stated that their exports to the European market have fallen in the past few months. Although the export value of China's textile and garment industry maintained a good growth in 2011, the sustained slowdown in the growth rate of export in the European and American markets is an indisputable fact. Compared with previous years, the export of textile and garment industry is facing a more complicated situation.

Sun Huaibin, Director of the Ministry of Industry of the China Textile Industry Federation and Director of the China Textile Economy Research Center, gave a detailed analysis of the phenomenon reflected in the export data of China's textile and clothing industry in 2011: Although the export value of the textile and apparel industry maintained growth momentum in 2011, this This kind of growth is not an increase in quantity but a pull in price factors. The main reason for the price increase is the increase in costs. Among them, the rising proportion of raw materials accounted for the largest proportion. Such price increases will not bring about much profit increase, and the time will not last long.

The Department of Economic and Trade of the National Development and Reform Commission stated on November 22, 2011 that the growth rate of foreign trade in 2011 is now a foregone conclusion. The growth of total imports and exports in 2012 will be between 14% and 17.5%, which will be further than before. Fall back. The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences also released the 2012 Economic Blue Book on December 7 last year, proposing that the impact of the financial crisis will continue for a long time. In 2012, China’s foreign trade situation will not be particularly optimistic, and the contribution of net exports to China’s economic growth may be It will drastically reduce the situation in which the Chinese economy relies on exports or will fundamentally change.

This is already the case. It is very difficult for China's textile and garment industry to stay outside. If the financial crisis has cast a shadow over the export situation in 2012, competition from other countries will make the export situation of China's textile and clothing industry more complicated.

In the past two years, the market share of textile and apparel products in India and Vietnam has continuously increased in Europe and the United States. While seizing the share of China’s international market, it also implements trade protectionism measures for China’s textile and apparel products and enterprises. For textile and apparel products in China, The reputation and share in the international market have had a bad influence. Faced with the severe export situation and the apparent constraint on the competitiveness, the redistribution of international and domestic market share, adjustment of export structure, and consolidation and improvement of its comprehensive strength have become a top priority for China's textile and clothing industry this year.

DC Fan

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